Reggie Wayne, a Senior Bowl Hall of Famer, prepped Jalen Wayne for what to . The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. I addressed this in my MVP column in July. Orlovsky sounds off on Wentz not making top 100 list. Kittle is the best all-around tight end in football right now, and if you could tell me this minute that he would have a 12-year career, I'd expect him to be a Hall of Famer. Bosa's case is trickier, in part because he missed four games in 2016 and nine games in 2018 with injuries. A starter from day one, Jackson was a first-team All-Pro while leading the league in interceptions in 2018. The Hall site draws a distinction, interestingly, between wide receivers and ends. The former Panthers quarterback has two other Pro Bowl nods besides that 2015 season, although he hasn't received a nomination since. Troy Aikman, John Elway and Roger Staubach won multiple Super Bowls. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin, LB Lavonte David. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. Nelson doesn't play a high-profile position, but he's off to a great start. Five of the 40 defensive players chosen among the top three picks of the draft since 1970 who are eligible for the Hall are enshrined, a percentage that will rise as players like Julius Peppers and Von Miller eventually become eligible. All rights reserved. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. Even if he slows down from here on out, Miller's going to the Hall. While guys like Franco Harris and Champ Bailey managed to make it to the Hall with similar starts to their careers, standouts like Chris Hinton, Ricky Watters and Donovan McNabb have come up short without getting to that next level. The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. In the running (40% to 69%): S Jamal Adams. He should have a very strong case for election. Inductees Nominees Induction Weekend Induction Process Landmark Award Squier-Hall Award Blue Jacket & Class Ring. Aldon Smith, who was once the most promising young edge rusher in football, would need a miraculous comeback in his first season since 2015 to get back on the HOF radar. Do you have a sports website? I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. If Murray breaks out in Year 2, he'll be on the fast track. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . Mosley. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. McCaffrey is still only 24 and has a relatively sterling health history, so it's on him to buck history. He has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls, although his only first-team All-Pro nod came in 2017. Left and right arrows move across top level links and expand / close menus in sub levels. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Partner with Us Back. Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Dak Prescott, WR Amari Cooper. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. Elroy "Crazylegs" Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Players with two Pro Bowls and one first-team All-Pro spot across their first three seasons who are eligible for the Hall have made it just over 48% of the time. Outside of that one year, though, he has three Pro Bowl nods, no first-team All-Pro spots and a 2-5 record in the postseason. Instead, legendary players and coaches like Troy Polamalu and Jimmy Johnson will wait until next year to give their speeches in Canton, Ohio. At the same time, no tight end in history has more than four 1,000-yard seasons over their respective careers, and Kelce has just run off four consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). OBJ hasn't made a Pro Bowl since 2016, and while this could be a bounce-back year for the former Giants star, another middling campaign would push him into the "Work to do" tier. I mentioned the math for quarterbacks in the Bengals section; in Garrett's case, four of 26 non-QBs taken with the first overall pick since the merger have made it to the Hall. Wilson hasn't missed a game as a pro, so as long as he plays another five or six seasons and continues to rank among the better quarterbacks in football, he should be fine. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Chase Young, S Landon Collins. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. Author: Nate Greer. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? The former star wide receiver on Thursday was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist in as many years of eligibility. All 259 picks | Every team's class Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. Membership Foundation Corporate Partners Artifact Donations Commemorative Brick . Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Edelman's career as a starter really didn't begin until he was 27, so while his case is built on postseason performance, I still don't think he has the regular-season production needed to supplement a case. Cox has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, although only one of those seasons resulted in a first-team All-Pro nod. So this is really a list of 15. The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. 2 pick was a four-time Pro Bowler and a three-time All-Pro during his five seasons in Detroit. The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. Greg Rajan is the senior editor for Texas Sports Nation, the Houston Chronicle's sports website, and also curates the daily TXSN newsletter and writes about sports media. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. Given his style, I worry about his aging curve versus that of tight ends who are basically glorified wide receivers. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. Peters might not be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he should get in eventually. There are questions about Roethlisberger's character; he has twice been accused of sexual assault. Ryan's case is trickier. Of all the young receivers, Moss is the only one to accomplish more through the first five seasons of his career. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. Peters might look better in the long term than he does now. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. Art Monk<br>1980-1995. He's going to get in on the first ballot. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. Its not at all random that hes become a big-time NFL player. The left tackle has seven Pro Bowls and two All-Pro nods before turning 30. Ingram wasn't very good for extended stretches of time until his fourth season in the league in New Orleans, and while he has made three Pro Bowls since, he hasn't had a top-five season in terms of production or won a Super Bowl. They both need multiple All-Pro seasons before they can rise up the ranks. Henry plays a Hall-friendly position and just won a rushing title. He followed that by posting a passer rating of 135.3 in the playoffs, which was the second-best mark in league history for a quarterback with at least 75 attempts. Only two full-time kickers Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen are in the Hall of Fame, but it would be hard to see Vinatieri shut out given his accomplishments. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. Likely (70% to 99%): CB Richard Sherman. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Partner with Us Back. From 2015 to 2019, his numbers are virtually identical to those of Eric Ebron. Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. Rent the Hall. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. He also earned two major awards: Defensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year the following season. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. Syndication Packersnews In part, that has been driven by health; the only other wideout ranking in the top 100 for receiving yards who has played all 80 games over the past five seasons is Larry Fitzgerald. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. He was on the All-2000s team, a three-time first team All-Pro and made eight Pro Bowls. James Harrison was a backup for four seasons, started regularly for the first time at 29, and probably won't make the Hall of Fame despite a pretty spectacular peak. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. In related news, the Cowboys also have a running back likely bound for the Hall. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Tre'Davious White. This is the big question: How much longer will Evans play and how productive will he be? The best trade Andy Reid ever made was moving up in the draft for Mahomes in 2017. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Elliott should be a prohibitive favorite to get in. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Vinatieri is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history, twice making last-second field goals to win Super Bowls and also making another famous kick in the Tuck Rule game that helped launch New Englands dynasty. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. Or write about sports? In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. Scouting reports | More draft coverage. Naturally, now seems like a good time to look forward. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. He could roll off a string of these nods in the years to come. The Notre Dame product probably needs a second one to have a viable shot at Canton. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now. Early in a player's career, I'm also comfortable using draft status as an estimate of talent until they establish themselves as pros, which will lead to some very inexperienced players making this list. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE DeMarcus Lawrence, DT Gerald McCoy, LB Leighton Vander Esch. to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. The Hall is forgiving of running backs, and Bell's versatility should age well, but he has missed a lot of time through injuries, suspensions and his 2018 holdout. Assessing Browns' FA needs. 260 players who could win MVP On Tuesday, future NFL Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald spoke with the team. Tight ends have relatively short careers, which makes projecting their Hall chances exceedingly difficult. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. He started his career with seven Pro Bowls in seven seasons, which is rarefied air. Gates numbers compare very favorably with those of the nine tight ends in the Hall. Making sense of Mahomes' deal Garrett has played at a much higher level than Mayfield, but the $125 million man has missed 11 of 48 games thanks to various injuries and his season-ending suspension in 2019. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). The big deal he signed with the Jags and the subsequent 14.5-sack campaign he posted in leading them to the AFC Championship Game turned the tide, as Campbell was a first-team All-Pro and made three consecutive Pro Bowl trips with Jacksonville. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. Gore is third in career rushing yards, which owes much to the fact that he also ranks third in carries. SEA | TB | TEN | WSH. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Mark Ingram, OT Ronnie Stanley, DE Calais Campbell. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans is having himself a season. Allen will have a tougher time (presumably) without Yannick Ngakoue or Calais Campbell around in 2020, but he's off to a great start. Former Panthers linebacker Luke Kuechly, ex-Giants quarterback Eli Manning, ex-Ravens linebacker Terrell Suggs and longtime Patriots/Colts kicker Adam Vinatieri are the notables on the 2025 ballot. Find out more. But during his 15-year career, Lewis has only been a Pro Bowler and Second-Team All-Pro in 2010. Contemporaries Torry Holt and Reggie Wayne also made the finalists cut from 15 to 10 with Johnson, but likewise didnt gain election. The future of Tampa Bay's tight end room. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Danielle Hunter, S Harrison Smith. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. (1:43), Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? Of the seven players eligible for the Hall of Fame who made it to the Pro Bowl in their age-21 campaign, six are in the Hall. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. Collins was a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in 2016 and has three Pro Bowls across his first five seasons. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Buckner made the Pro Bowl in 2018, but he was otherwise underappreciated during his four seasons in the Bay Area. He probably needs to keep that streak going for a couple more years or rack up another 15-sack campaign to move the needle to Likely. Exhibits Interactive Experiences Gear Shop Pit Stop Caf Accessibility Champ the Cheetah. Winning an MVP in Year 2 obviously leaps Jackson into consideration on its own, but it doesn't seal it. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Adam Thielen, LB Anthony Barr. Only Campbell is in the Hall of Fame. Collins retired with 70 touchdown receptions, sixth-best total in NFL history at the time and more than Hall of Fame receivers Lynn Swann, Art Monk, Bobby Mitchell, Michael Irvin and John Stallworth. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . On Saturday night, Eagles star Harold Carmichael and Rams star Isaac Bruce were inducted as part of a . Archive: Every podcast from Barnwell . In recent years Seattle has gained somewhat of a reputation as being the last stop for future Hall of Fame wide receivers. Heres what you need to know. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Of the 27 Hall-eligible players who have pulled that off, 14 are enshrined. The Bucs already have the best receiver duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the addition of a player like Brown in his prime would make this unit completely unfair. Jones should make up some of that difference in 2020, and after Fitzgerald retires, he should be able to challenge the Cardinals great for that second spot. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? He was excellent in his third season, but since then, his production has roughly been in line with that of Robby Anderson. After five consecutive Pro Bowl campaigns, I wonder whether Landry actually has a better shot of surpassing his friend and longtime teammate. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Davante Adams, OT David Bakhtiari, LB Za'Darius Smith. He isn't going to catch Jerry Rice, but he's just under 5,000 yards behind Larry Fitzgerald, who ranks second in career receiving yards. NFL Nation: Analysis for every pick Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. Last season, Thomas became the second wide receiver to win Offensive Player of the Year. Since 1970, 55 players who are eligible for Canton have hit that 8+2 mark, and 52 of them earned enshrinement. While James is closer to the 69% end of the spectrum here, Bosa's more toward 40%. Sanders started 16 regular season games at cornerback and another eight at wide receiver - becoming the first two-way starter in the NFL since the Philadelphia Eagles Chuck Bednarik, who retired in 1962.
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